Natural Gas:Winter 2016 will be hot and the Bears awake

In a previous post we predicted correctly that Natural Gas will return to 1.95(Nat Gas is returning to where it started (1.95$)).Now we present our long term view on NG for 2016.

We believe that NG will soon bounce towards 2.25-2.5 (02/2016) and then dive towards 1.35-1.45 (4Q2016).

As we showed in previous posts (2016: The Year of the Bear (II))(DAX: A Huge Head and Shoulders pattern is already forming), winter 2016 is going to be "hot" and the Bears awake

DAX: A Huge Head and Shoulders pattern is already forming

We believe that 2016 will be a Bear Year for equities in general(2016: The Year of the Bear (II)).Specifically for DAX we believe that it will move down towards 9000(H&S neckline) then move towards 10.400(Right Shoulder) and finally move towards around 6800 on 4Q2016. We predict that this correction will move DAX price aprox 45% lower from March-April 2015 Highs.

2016: The Year of the Bear (II)

In a previous post(SPX year-end prediction: 2016 the Year of the Bear) we presented our prediction regarding SPX for 2016. Today we present a very long term chart of SPX which further enhances our view:

Another relevant chart for Dow Jones Industrial:

And for a more clear picture of the currently forming H&S, let us see the DJ small cap index:

 

SPX year-end prediction: 2016 the Year of the Bear

As 2016 approaches we present today our year end SPX prediction for 2016.
We believe that SPX has topped out (or almost there) and that a bear market in equities will ensue.We expect this bear market to bring SPX down to 1400 0r even around 1000 in late 2016 - early 2017.

(needless to say that SPX will not move in a straight line down to 1400/1000.The arrows show the general trend)